International Journal of Business and Economics Volume 18, No. 2 September, 2019

Behaviors of Stocks and Fear Index from Terrorist Attacks: Empirical Evidence from SENSEX and NVIX

Imlak Shaikh

Management Development Institute Gurgaon Gurugram, Haryana, India

Abstract

This study examines the impacts of domestic and counter-terrorist attacks on India's securities markets after collecting time series data of SENSEX and NVIX during the period 1980-2015 for the empirical work. We employ the conditional volatility framework to estimate stock market volatility around the terrorist events, presenting empirical results that corroborate earlier studies and report a significant impact of terrorist activities on investors' sentiment. Stock market volatility remains volatile for pre- and post-terrorist events. This paper is the first empirical research investigating the impact of terrorist attacks on stock market performance in an emerging economy like India, such as stock returns and investors' fear-gauge-index (NVIX). The implications of the study underpin a forward-looking direction on stock market volatility and investors' behavior towards risky capital investment decisions.

Keywords：terrorist attacks, India securities market, NVIX, SENSEX, volatility index.

JEL Classifications：G10, G14.

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